This week is a little more clear and I dont see a lot of eliminations. While I don't love looking ahead early in the season, we should have enough choices this week that we can factor it in.
surviviorgrid.com (OFP %)
There are a clear top 6 favorites this week. Taking a peek at their future value:
These lines can take huge swings, which is why I dont love using it in week 6. Will WAS home for NYG be -4.5 when we get to week 12? It could easily be -9.5 All the IND lines are out of whack once Luck comes back...
Straight up, I think Denver has the easiest time this week, its tricky because they are over 30% and have that Jets game in week 14 where its the one home game in 5 weeks for the team.
TEN is the smart survivor pick, but need to check on Mariotta. Id be too nervous to pick that game.
The other 4 are similar to me.
Thoughts?
Much more straight forward than last week. Denver seems like they should kill the Giants. I like Atl and Washington as well. Not into Houston, big defensive injuries and Hogan may be much better than Kizer.
ReplyDeleteSo Id say Denver, Atlanta or Washington and need to dove into tenessee more but seems super risky
what about Baltimore?
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