Friday, November 17, 2017

Week 11

Double pick time. 

Our board:
survivorgrid.com

The P% column is only a guide, it will probably be very low because this is based on single game weeks.  For instance, the Steelers are 5% here but were over 10% last night.  While I dont think it'll be a 2:1 ratio, lets take our best guesses as to what the percentages will be for the top win percentage teams.  Anyone not on the list will probably be minimal.

KC - 65%
NO - 15%
JAX - 50%
PIT - 10%
NE - 8%
PHI - 2 %
LAC - 10%

Given these numbers, and our teams left-

JAX was my original thought for this week, but if they will hover around 50% that would make me want to save them.  It doesnt leave us with great options.
PHI should probably be skipped.  They are our #1 strategic team, with them taken on 88% of entries.
It leaves us with a bunch of toss up type games
LAC-BUF
DET-CHI
SEA-ATL
DEN-CIN [bengals already taken]
HOU-ARI [cardinals already taken]
MIA-TB [bucs already taken]
GB-BAL [ravens already taken]

We can go with the crowd on KC or JAX and have a better shot to move on, or we can pick 2 toss ups and try to move on while everyone else uses future value.

1 comment:

  1. The chargers are a team I am ok taking this week.. i dont have a great feel for the second team to take though

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