Here are the top teams being picked in the Yahoo Survival Game
NYG: 35%
SF: 21%
CHI: 17%
IND: 9%
CIN: 7%
HOU: 6%
I have a feeling at least 2 or 3 of these teams will lose. When you have 4-5 bad teams favored by over a TD, some crazy things are going to happen.
NYG @ KC
This is the obvious game of the week, and I will probably be taking it. The Giants have a lot of question marks including injuries to the O-line, D-line and defensive backs, 3rd road game in a row, let down game against other conference. This game has a lot of similarities to the game against the Browns last year. Coming after a blow out of SEA, on the road against the AFC. I'm certainly nervous, but I think Eli really wants to prove to everyone he doesn't need Burress. Let's hope.
Understandable if you want to wait on the Giants for next week at home vs Oak, but next week also has Philly vs Tampa or Minnesota vs Seattle.
STL @ SF
Stat of the week: # of Drives over 30 yards with scoring opportunity- SF: 7 STL: 7. The difference is that SF has converted those in 40 points and STL converted them into 24. A little bit of bad luck for the 49ers or good luck for the Rams, and this is a Rams win. First team to 14 points win.
DET @ CHI
The Bears are in trouble with their O-line. They've been terrible protecting Cutler and terrible opening holes for Forte. And the Lions D-line has been frisky. I think the Lions keep this very close. If you have confidence in Cutler you can take them.
SEA @ IND
Should be an easy win for Indy. I'd like to save them though.
CIN @ CLE
Tough call on this one. Cincy on the road, after a huge division win. It scares me. CIN is the only team that has a clear advantage in DVOA, DAVE overall and offesnse/defense. That kind of helps. But I'm hesitant.
OAK @ HOU
This is the game vegaswatch.net is taking. It worries me though. HOU has been terrible against the run, and the Raiders can run the ball. Don't discount Rex sharing secrets with his brother about how to beat the Texans. We'll see if Kevin Walter really makes that big a difference. I just can't take a team that has a bad defense.
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BAL @ NE
We saw what the NE offense did against BAL's baby brother. At home might help, but I like BAL here.
TB @ WAS
I guess everyone is scared of WAS. And for good reason. Let's see what Josh Johnson can do. In his last 2 years in college, he completed 67% of his passes 77 TD's and 6 INT's, took only 5 sacks. Um, wow?
TEN @ JAC
If TEN plays like it did the last 3 weeks it shouldn't have a problem. They don't give up long runs and that's half JAC's offense.
NYJ @ NO
Last time NO played BAL, NO was 5-1, then got crushed. Was down 35-7 going into the 4th quarter. Now playing the mini Ravens, we'll see if the results are similar.
BUF @ MIA
Let's see what Chad Henne can do. Buffalo has played well in Miami the last few years. Probably just happy about the weather.
DAL @ DEN
Denver's D playing really well. Should be a good, low scoring game.
SD @ PIT
Would have been a great game if Polamalu were playing. Anyway, you see how pissed Tomlin was? Pitt will be prepared.
GB @ MIN
2 overrated teams.
Thursday, October 1, 2009
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Are you hesitant to take the Bengals just b/c they are the Bengals? Don't you think they will be motivated b/c they want to prove they aren't a joke?
ReplyDeleteI'm hesitant for a few reasons. 1. They just won a division game and teams only win 52% of the time over the last 3 years after a division win. 2. That division win was almost like their superbowl. They had't beaten Pitt at home in a long time. 3. D Anderson plays well at home, and against Cincy.
ReplyDeleteNow, the Jets also won a division game that was almost like their superbowl vs the Pats, and they won last week, so it sure can be done. (I'm actually more worried about it at the end of the season, not the beginning).
I'll say this. If you believe in the Cincy D, then take them. (The D played well vs DEN, GB and PIT so their might be reason to believe).