I looked back at the last 2 years of FootballOutsiders DVOA-DAVE research and the match ups. I took the biggest difference in DVOA, DAVE, Offense vs Defense and Defense vs Offense.
For those who want to see all the numbers and sort through them:
http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0An2wHPZQRpOvdGtTQ05IaW1jOU5nWXpBWktNLWxEMnc&hl=en
And here are this week's biggest differences, sorted by DVOA difference.
Does this mean much? I don't know. Over the past 2 years, for week 3, teams with the biggest differences generally won, but week 4 had a lot of upsets. Yet last week there were almost no upsets. In fact, last week, the only team with clear advantages in all 4 categories was Cincy who barely won.
minnesota SCREAMS let down game!
ReplyDeleteany stats to backup letdown game? the only stats i have is that teams that win monday night division games generally win the next week. Seems like the opposite of letdown. (Especially since teams winning a regular division game wins on 52% the next week).
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