Thursday, October 14, 2010

Week 6

PIT
A whopping 65% of OFP picks have been on the Steelers this week.  Yes, they are a huge favorite, but way too many people are on them, plus they have 5 more games as a TD+ favorite.  If you want to be super safe, take them.  But you will be putting yourself in a bind later in the season.

NYG
Their 22.8 percentage at OFP is a bit too high, but I might be forced to go with them.  Their only other TD favorite game is week 12, which is a double pick week, but there are 5 other games that week with big spreads.  

CHI
The Bears have very little future value, with one TD favorite, in week 9.  I know how bad SEA has looked on the road so far, but I am not sold on this game.  My numbers have the Bears winning this game 67% of the time.  If you want to take that chance to save the Giants for week 12, thats fine.

SD
Should be a winner, but plenty of future value.

SF
Let them win a game first.

I think the Giants are the best Survivor pick this week, with the Bears a distant second.

--
Season Recap [Rules- 1 pick through Week 9.  Double Picks thereafter.  Entry 2 is more aggressive]

Entry 1- NYG, PHI, MIN, NYJ, CIN 
Entry 2- ARI, DEN, MIN, NYJ, DET

--

Team
Picks
1
Steelers
65.3%
2
Giants
22.8%
3
Bears
4.0%
4
Chargers
3.7%
5
49ers
2.0%
6
Texans
0.6%
7
Saints
0.4%
8
Jets
0.3%
9
Packers
0.2%
10
Titans
0.2%
11
Colts
0.2%
12
Eagles
0.1%

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