PIT
A whopping 65% of OFP picks have been on the Steelers this week. Yes, they are a huge favorite, but way too many people are on them, plus they have 5 more games as a TD+ favorite. If you want to be super safe, take them. But you will be putting yourself in a bind later in the season.
NYG
Their 22.8 percentage at OFP is a bit too high, but I might be forced to go with them. Their only other TD favorite game is week 12, which is a double pick week, but there are 5 other games that week with big spreads.
CHI
The Bears have very little future value, with one TD favorite, in week 9. I know how bad SEA has looked on the road so far, but I am not sold on this game. My numbers have the Bears winning this game 67% of the time. If you want to take that chance to save the Giants for week 12, thats fine.
SD
Should be a winner, but plenty of future value.
SF
Let them win a game first.
I think the Giants are the best Survivor pick this week, with the Bears a distant second.
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Season Recap [Rules- 1 pick through Week 9. Double Picks thereafter. Entry 2 is more aggressive]
Entry 1- NYG, PHI, MIN, NYJ, CIN
Entry 2- ARI, DEN, MIN, NYJ, DET
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Team | Picks | |
1 | Steelers | 65.3% |
2 | Giants | 22.8% |
3 | Bears | 4.0% |
4 | Chargers | 3.7% |
5 | 49ers | 2.0% |
6 | Texans | 0.6% |
7 | Saints | 0.4% |
8 | Jets | 0.3% |
9 | Packers | 0.2% |
10 | Titans | 0.2% |
11 | Colts | 0.2% |
12 | Eagles | 0.1% |
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