Thursday, September 16, 2010

Week 2

GB
Interesting week this week with GB being taken by over 50% of OFP participants.  They are almost a lock to win the game, but I am rooting for a repeat of Cincy in Lambeau as +9 or HOU +6.5 in 2008.

DAL
What a disappointing loss last week.  They outplayed Washington by a wide margin but made one too many stupid mistakes. It reminded me of when SD lost the Hochuli game to Denver.  They won and covered the next week.  Same with Buffalo losing to NE last year in the fashion they did.  I think they'll come out on fire and beat Chicago easily.    Their D is too good.   12.7% is still high and they do have 4 more games as TD favorites, including two after week 10 when I have double picks.

ATL
I have ATL winning this game 68% of time.  Not even close for this time of year.

SD
I have SD with very solid numbers for Survivor though not very strong numbers for covering the spread, which always makes me pause.  With 8 more games as a TD favorite and 4 after week 10, I will keep looking.

MIN
Same as ATL, with even less chance to cover.  Staying away.

PHI
My pick of the week.  Combine my high score for them (90) and the fact that they aren't favored by a TD in any game going further, and this choice is easy for me.

OAK
If you are going to go with a team that has no future value, might as well go Philly..

NO
Love their chances to win, but tons of future value.

DEN
This is my risky play of the week.  Very little future value (though they do ahve KC and OAK at home, but I dont think they'll be heavy favorites in either), only 6th best chance to win this week, but still solid at 79%. In a league where the winner will need to pick 25 teams, its a decent option (though not as good as PHI)

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Season Recap [Rules- 1 pick through Week 9.  Double Picks thereafter]


Entry 1- NYG, PHI
Entry 2- ARI, DEN






Team
Picks
1
Packers
52.6%
2
Cowboys
12.7%
3
Falcons
8.7%
4
Chargers
8.0%
5
Vikings
3.9%
6
Eagles
3.4%
7
Raiders
2.8%
8
Saints
2.1%
9
Titans
1.3%
10
Panthers
1.0%
11
Colts
0.8%
12
Chiefs
0.5%
13
Broncos
0.4%
14
Texans
0.4%
15
Patriots
0.4%
16
Browns
0.2%
17
Ravens
0.2%
18
Rams
0.1%
19
Seahawks
0.1%


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